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发信人: Porod (扬之水◎Love in One Day), 信区: English
标 题: As lethal as ever
发信站: 哈工大紫丁香 (Fri Apr 20 07:20:58 2007), 转信
Apr 19th 2007 | BAGHDAD
From The Economist print edition
The prime minister, Nuri al-Maliki, is ever more embattled
AFP
IT WAS one of the bloodiest weeks for Baghdad since the American invasion
four years ago—and one of the roughest for Iraq’s battered prime minister
, Nuri al-Maliki, since he came to office a year ago. Still reeling from
a suicide bomb inside his parliament last week, when one MP was killed and
several wounded, he was further buffeted this week by the resignation of
all six ministers loyal to a fiery and influential Shia cleric, Muqtada
al-Sadr, whose support had enabled Mr Maliki to get the job in the first
place.
Then, on Wednesday April 18th, hours after Mr Maliki defiantly declared that
Iraqi forces would take over the security of the entire country from the
Americans by the end of this year, Baghdad suffered its worst-ever bombing
: nearly 200 people, almost all of them Shia civilians, were killed by five
suicide bombs, apparently planted by Sunni insurgents linked to al-Qaeda
. One bomb alone, in a market in the Shia district of Sadriya, killed some
140 people, many of them women and children.
Mr Maliki is putting a brave face on it all. The ministerial walk-out, he
says, gives him a chance to put a more “professional, technocratic and
less sectarian” face on his government. In the short run, the Sadrists’
resignation, prompted by Mr Maliki’s refusal to set a firm deadline for
the American troops’ departure, may not bring him down, but it is one of
many ominous signs. His premiership looks limp. He has failed to stop ministries
from becoming the fiefs of the competing parties. Some ministers accuse
him of dithering. Others say he bypasses their ministries, relying instead
on a cabal of personal advisers appointed largely because of their loyalty
to his fairly small Dawa party. “It is a coup by stealth,” says a Kurdish
minister. “It is neither democratic nor effective.”
Mr Sadr’s 30-strong block of followers in parliament, which has 275 members
, was the largest faction in the ruling Shia alliance and had backed Mr Maliki
as prime minister largely to stop the post going to the Supreme Council
for Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI), their bitter rivals in the Shia alliance
. There was little love lost between Mr Maliki and the Sadrists, whose ministries
soon became bywords for sectarian nastiness, but he calculated that he was
probably better off having them inside his tent. Now the fiery cleric’s
MPs will be free publicly to oppose him.
Perhaps more worrying, the Sadrists’ withdrawal from the government could
now make it harder for Mr Maliki to persuade their Mahdi Army militiamen
to put away their guns, especially when Sunni bombers continue their carnage
on this week’s horrifying scale. So far, the unpredictable cleric has by
and large co-operated with the latest American-Iraqi security plan, by reining
in his gunmen. Many Sadrists are itching to resume their brutal campaign
against their Sunni compatriots.
Having lost the Sadrists, Mr Maliki faces a battle to keep Iraq’s deeply
alienated Sunni Arab leaders in his national-unity government. Iraq’s Sunni
vice-president, Tariq al-Hashimi, has strongly criticised Mr Maliki for
failing to ensure that Sunnis have a bigger say in decisions or to foster
national reconciliation. Mr Hashimi and fellow Sunni Arabs who have engaged
in parliamentary politics say they are being increasingly targeted by al
-Qaeda-tied insurgents and other violent Sunni groups. Mr Maliki must fast
fulfil some of his promises, says Mr Hashimi. “Otherwise, the extremists
win.”
The Americans seem still to be backing Mr Maliki, for now. Their new ambassador
, Ryan Crocker, has been stressing his support. “Frankly there’s no alternative
we can see,” admits one of his aides. “But we are still not certain he
is up to the job.”
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