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发信人: Vicissitudes (命运), 信区: English
标 题: A Piece everyday
发信站: 哈工大紫丁香 (2002年07月05日19:26:44 星期五), 站内信件
£1bn rise in defence spending
Overstretched armed forces claims heeded by Treasury
Michael White and Richard Norton-Taylor
Friday July 5, 2002
The Guardian
The defence secretary, Geoff Hoon, has won his battle to increase spending o
n Britain's overstretched armed forces when Gordon Brown presents his compre
hensive spending review in two weeks' time.
Though defence officials are wary of premature celebrations before they have
received formal notification of the chancellor's decisions, MPs have been t
ipped off that Mr Hoon may get close to the extra £1bn a year he has been d
emanding for his £24bn budget.
If confirmed, in post-inflation terms that would represent around a 4% incre
ase, compared with the token 0.3% a year increase which is currently allowin
g Tony Blair to chide European Nato allies which have not increased their de
fence spending in response to the September 11 terrorist threat.
"We are not quite there yet, nothing is settled until everything is settled,
" a Treasury official said last night. Mr Brown's statement on the three-yea
r CSR has already been postponed from next week to around July 16-17.
Military top brass, who have privately warned Mr Blair that his peacekeeping
ambitions on the global stage are causing serious strain, appear to be opti
mistic. The budget is currently underfunded by about £500m, a figure that w
ill rise to between £750m and £1bn by 2008 without substantial injections
of cash.
Though not enamoured with Mr Hoon and aware of Treasury suspicion of MoD fin
ancial profligacy and inefficiency, they point to Mr Blair consistently prai
sing the work and prowess of Britain's armed forces.
"Blair can hardly go around singing the praises of our armed forces and not
give us more money," said one officer. When the MoD bid looked set to be mar
ginalised by the more urgent domestic claims of health and education spendin
g, some MPs claimed that Mr Brown would lose little sleep if the prime minis
ter's global pretensions were cut down to size.
"The joke in Whitehall is that the comprehensive spending review should real
ly be called the comprehensive leadership review," said one MP with good Tre
asury contacts. Mr Hoon is neither an enemy nor an ally of Mr Brown, unlike
David Blunkett, a potential leadership rival, whose ambitious Home Office ag
enda MPs believe the chancellor will have little trouble resisting.
Mr Hoon's team will have no difficulty spending whatever the chancellor prov
ides. Though much of the Afghan conflict has been funded from the Treasury's
contingency reserves - unenthusiastically, MPs say - there is a chronic sho
rtage of RAF and Navy pilots. The MoD got a bad press when it took the econo
my measure of phasing out the navy's Sea Harriers.
Weapons and other procurement projects such as a new air-to-air refuelling t
anker fleet have been delayed or postponed. There are plans to build an airc
raft carrier and six destroyers, as well as to buy the military Airbus, the
A400(M), to ease Europe's dependence on the US for troop movements.
If Britain is going to improve service in global hot spots there is also an
urgent need to invest in secure communications and intelligence, which would
include unmanned aircraft.
Earlier this year Mr Blunkett and Mr Hoon, whose ministries are regarded as
poor at protecting extra spending from waste, went public in their battles w
ith the "Iron Chancellor".
Lately they have gone quiet, though Mr Hoon told the Commons defence committ
ee last week: "Britain has been increasing its defence budget in recent year
s. I hope to see that trend continue."
The price the MoD is likely to have to pay is yet more pledges of greater ef
ficiency.
The chancellor has shown signs of distaste for Mr Blair's eager support for
US-led military operations, just as he avoids being identified with populist
responses to law and order or asylum problems in the way Mr Blunkett willin
gly does.
But some insiders argue that he recognises that he must be seen as a constru
ctive statesman. That means showing an understanding of the military's needs
, even though Mr Blair will probably take most of the credit.
Alan Milburn's health budget, set to expand by over 7% to £100bn a year, is
the government's priority, closely followed by education, which had first p
lace in the 1997 parliament. The education secretary, Estelle Morris, a pote
ntial Brown ally, has been courted. Mr Blunkett, who has been given money to
reverse the decline in police numbers, may be told he must make his budget
work more efficiently.
--
I do not believe vicissitudes.
Then, who am I?
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