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发信人: Zinux (Linux技工), 信区: Embedded_system
标 题: Whitepaper: Linux's Future in the Embedded Market
发信站: 哈工大紫丁香 (2001年06月25日20:36:49 星期一), 站内信件
本贴原文请见: http://www.linuxdevices.com/articles/AT4705998392.html
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Whitepaper: Linux's Future in the Embedded Market
Stephen Balacco, VDC Senior Analyst
The following whitepaper summarizing the results of Venture
Development Corporation's recently completed Embedded Linux market study
is reproduced here with VDC's permission, as a service to the
Embedded Linux community . . .
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Linux's Future in the Embedded Systems Market
An Executive White Paper for Senior Managers
Interested in Maximizing Growth and Profitability
Prepared by: Stephen Balacco,
Senior Analyst, Embedded Systems Research Group
Venture Development Corporation
June 2001
This paper is a brief summary of VDC's analysis of Linux's future in the
embedded systems market. The base year for market data and analysis
is 2000, with a five year forecast period through 2005. In this study,
VDC presents data on the merchant market for embedded Linux operating
systems and software development tools. The merchant market is defined
as products produced and sold in the open market. It does not include
products developed in-house by OEM developers for use in their own
products.
Market Overview
The overall embedded market is undergoing a major transformation both in
design and functionality. Networking technologies are becoming
increasingly more important for embedded developers. Driven by the
proliferation of the Internet and the increasing ubiquity of embedded
computer systems, devices that can communicate with other devices are
becoming dominant in the embedded market.
The Linux operating system has been available for years for servers
and desktops, and has continued to gain market share in both of these
computing segments. Helping to drive this growth and lend
creditability to Linux are well established companies such as IBM, Dell,
Hewlett-Packard, Compaq, Oracle, and others. Linux, originally
developed for the desktop and adapted for servers, is now making
in-roads into the highly fragmented embedded market.
In 2000, worldwide shipments of embedded Linux OSs, software development
tools, and related services reached an estimated $28.2 million (see
figure, below). By 2005, VDC estimates that shipments will reach $306.
6 million, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 61.2%.
Worldwide Shipments of Embedded Linux OSs, Software Development Tools,
and Related Services
Product Categories
In 2000, the annual developer fee was the largest category, followed
by professional services, unbundled software development tools, and
run-time royalties:
Annual Developer Fee
Professional Services
Unbundled Software Development Tools
Run-time royalties
Other
Geographic Regions
North America accounted for the greatest share of shipments in 2000.
However, VDC is forecasting both Europe and Asia/Pacific to grow at
faster rates over the forecast period.
Vertical Market/Application Segments
Telecom/datacom is expected to remain the largest consuming market for
embedded Linux software development solutions, as indicated in the
following ranked list which shows leading vertical markets and
applications for embedded Linux OSs and software development tools in
2000 (in rank order by dollar volume consumption):
Telecom/Datacom
Consumer Electronics
Industrial Automation
Retail Automation
Office Automation
Military/Aerospace
Automotive
Information Automation
Medical
In 2000, VDC estimates that telecom accounted for $13.2 million in
shipments. However, VDC is forecasting consumer electronics to grow at
the fastest rate over the forecast period.
Leading Vendors
In 2000, the global market for Linux OSs was relatively small with no
dominant market player. VDC estimates that Lineo, MontaVista, and Red
Hat (in alphabetical order) are ranked in the top tier, with many
companies trying to gain a foothold in this burgeoning market,
focusing on specific vertical segment(s).
On Linux's Future in the Embedded Systems Market
Findings include . . .
Strategic Business Issues
Linux, originally developed for the desktop and adapted for servers, has
done well in these markets, and is making in-roads into the highly
fragmented embedded market.
Traditional embedded OS companies are searching for that middle ground
and trying to become more open.
The open source community represents a powerful movement and open
development model driving innovation.
There are several different business models for embedded Linux vendors
who are focused on branding builds of their distribution and adding
value.
End User Analysis
Embedded developers decision not to use Linux is based more on technical
suitability and quality of long term support rather than the protection
of intellectual property.
Availability of source code, royalty-free, and vendor reputation are key
criteria for selecting Linux.
Embedded developers currently using Linux are satisfied with the
products and support from their current Linux provider.
Real-time requirements vary from application to application and both
second kernel and preemption improvements are viable alternatives to
satisfying real-time for Linux.
Third Party Opportunities
VDC estimates shipments of unbundled software development tools and
related services reached $4.0 million during 2000.
Increased interest from embedded developers in using Linux is driving
software development tool companies to adapt their products for use with
Linux.
Embedded developers recognize the benefits of software development tools
and are not averse to paying for quality tools.
Going forward, VDC expects additional third party software development
tool companies to announce support for embedded Linux.
Current demand for third party service opportunities is minimal and
identified with application development.
Other findings include . . .
VDC forecasts consumer electronics, automotive, information automation,
industrial automation, and telecom/datacom as vertical markets for high
growth embedded Linux applications.
Availability of Research Study
Linux's Future in the Embedded Systems Market, available immediately, is
part of VDC's embedded software strategic market intelligence program,
the first comprehensive body of market research reports targeted
exclusively at the embedded systems industry.
For additional information, pricing, and availability of individual
reports, please contact Stephen Balacco, Chris Lanfear, or Marc
Regberg at 508-653-9000, or visit VDC's website.
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Copyright (c), 2001, Venture Development Corporation. All rights
reserved.
Reproduced by permission.
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Related stories:
VDC forecasts strong growth for Linux in embedded
Developer interest in Embedded Linux skyrockets
What's so good about open source and Linux -- in embedded?
The LinuxDevices.com 2001 Embedded Linux Market Survey
The Embedded Linux Overview Quick Reference Guide
Embedded Linux -- one year later
Using Linux in Embedded and Real-time Systems
--
puke!
技工而已
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